Sunday, November 13, 2016

Zambia's 2017 Budget Summary

The 2017 Budget was announced this past Friday, 11th November, 2016. I will present a summary. I will not comment on the issues I expected from this budget or what has been done. This is just a summary - maybe a little highlight of what a particular issue means.

The 2017 Budget is under the theme: 

“Restoring Fiscal Fitness for Sustained Inclusive Growth and Development.”

Due lower economic activity in the advanced economies, the global economic growth in 2016 is projected at 3.1 percent this is slightly lower than the 3.2 percent recorded in 2015. In emerging and developing economies, growth is projected at 4.2 percent in 2016, growing the 0.2 percet from 4.0 percent recorded in 2015. Sub-Saharan Africa growth is projected to fall to 1.4 percent in 2016 from 3.4 percent in 2015. In addition world trade is projected to grow by 2.3 percent in 2016 which is lower than the 2.6 percent growth recorded in 2015. 

For Zambia, growth is projected to be just above 3 percent in 2016 against a target of 5.0 percent and to marginally rise to 3.4 percent in 2017.

The macroeconomic objectives for 2017 are:
  1. achieve real GDP growth of at least 3.4 percent; 
  2. attain end year inflation of no more than 9.0 percent;
  3. attain domestic revenue mobilisation of at least 18.0 percent of GDP;
  4. limit the overall fiscal deficit to no more than 7.0 percent of GDP on a cash basis;
  5. maintain domestic borrowing to no more than 2 percent of GDP;
  6. build up foreign exchange reserves to at least 3 months of import cover by end 2017; and
  7. support the creation of at least 100,000 decent jobs.
Government will promote industrialisation as a means of diversifying the economy through facilitating value addition in the agriculture, mining and forestry sectors. In 2017, Government will facilitate the development of the Kafue Iron and Steel Economic Facility Zone and the Kalumbila Multi Facility Economic Zone.

In order to ensure efficiency and disengage Government from the (energy) sector, the procurement of finished petroleum products will with effect from 1st March, 2017 be undertaken by the private sector. Government’s role will be limited to regulation. Government is examining the viability of Indeni and TAZAMA pipeline. Fuel prices will be adjusted in line with changes in market conditions.

Emphasis will be on the construction of roads that support economic growth and foster regional trade. These include the Chingola-Solwezi, Kitwe-Chingola dual carriage way, Lusaka-Chirundu Link 4, Mpika-Chinsali, Chinsali-Nakonde and Solwezi-Kipushi.

In trade sector, Government will:
  1. Operationalise the Bilateral Trade Agreements with the Democratic Republic of Congo and the Peoples Republic of Angola;
  2. Provide for advance ruling on rules of origin for goods originating from countries with which Zambia has signed trade agreements. These include SADC and COMESA member states as well as India and China; 
  3. Implement a Single Window platform for various border agencies to enhance trade facilitation; and
  4. Establish trade centres at the borders of our major non-traditional export markets beginning with Kasumbalesa, Kipushi and Chirundu.


The IDC has been directed to conduct a situational analysis of all SOEs under its portfolio with a view to recapitalise those that have a good business case and hiving off those that are not viable. In 2017, SOEs to be reviewed include Zesco, Zamtel, Zambia National Building Society, Indeni, TAZAMA Pipeline, Zambia Railways and Zambia State Insurance Corporation.

The 2017 Budget by function is:


The resources are as follows:


The PAYE bands are:



The revised vehicle Carbon tax rate are:


The 2017 Budget has also introduced the border crossing fee applied to all motor vehicles as a revenue measure. The fees applicable are:


Therefore, the 2017 Budget resource envelope is broken down in K '000 (millions of Kwacha) as: 



Other notable changes in the 2017 Budget include:

Cross border visa increase from K1,000 to K1,500
Transit visa from K2,000 to K3,000
Increase of Advanced Income tax from 6% to 15%

Also introduced with the 2017 Budget are:
Skills development levy - 0.5% on payroll payments for companies that pay Company Income tax
Tourism levy - 1.5% on total bills paid to hotel, motel, lodge, etc

Customs Duty Changes
Airtime excise duty increase from 15% to 17.5%
Semi-processed edible oil increase duty from 5% to 15%
Spare parts duty increase from 5% to 15%
Plastic carrier bag duty from 25% to 40%
Cotton wool duty to 15%

VAT Changes
No VAT refund for: Motor Vehicle parts, Fuel (petrol), Fuel (10% of Diesel cost) - only 90% VAT can be claimed now, air conditioning and domestic refrigeration equipment, mobile phones, Television sets, decoders, video players window coverings (curtains and blinds), construction of houses for staff, 

This is all I could quickly put up from the Budget. A lot has been done and frankly I expected a different budget considering that the country is in economic challenges in which demand is expected to be stimulated and certain measures avoided which would increase costs to businesses or citizens.

Saturday, October 29, 2016

The Dying Ability to Analyze

I get interested in topical issues in Zambia at any one time. In all cases, my interest is to see how people look at issues and their take on them. Sadly, every single time, I have ended up being given the political side. The famous words we use in Zambia being "you are being political". Some have taken this as an insult really - because they feel you have undermined their thinking. I believe this is the right term and happy it has gained following in Zambia. Let me explain.

If you try to get a definition of politics (simpler way is just to google "define politics"), it will give you definitions that involve views, power, etc and I'm yet to find one which says .... analysis ...., etc. Like the simple definitions are:

"the activities associated with the governance of a country or area, especially the debate between parties having power"
"activities aimed at improving someone's status or increasing power within an organization"

Which all point to that fact that analysis of issues are not the core issue of politics. The fields which have analysis at the core and "technocrat", "scientist", "expert", etc. So I expect these to have the issues analysed before they are brought to public consumption.

Honestly, the worst people in this are people who would make sure you know what qualification they have in the field and go on rampage to give opinions and claims with no analysis whatsoever! That is killing the nation because someone will pick up your lie and assume it is gospel truth and contaminate others. We have to be responsible in issuing claims or political statement. We should not mention qualification in an area or field is you will give a party position, mention the party or philosophy you subscribe to. Let people who will objectively respond to an issue or their expertise use their qualification.

I believe this will help people know who to listen to, and not any person who has been given a microphone to speak should be believed. In this same sense, I think the authority charged with higher education should also make it a point for people who have received honorarily degrees not to use them. I get confused to hear a "Dr Something" said something in which he deliberately ignored the facts or has no clue what the facts are. Further, we as a people need to realize that when one takes on the hat of politician, they want employment and will say anything they can to get that job regardless of what the truth is. They are politicians at the end of the day!

The effect of misinformation is so bad that certain sectors that rely on confidence would fail to stand regardless of what you do as a damage control measure! We may not clean up the mess in time. All for a position? Really?

I remember someone showing off after voting in the referendum in August that "I couldn't vote for that thing! It says the moment you get married, your wife will have more power than you in your home and marriage!". I was so shocked and I said "No! You didn't read it." He never said a word after that. I could see the guy fighting in his mind of what to do or say which would repair the damage. But what can you say when you have no idea on an issue you wanted to by pass without the facts? That is the sickening levels we have reached! This same person may have told all his family as a person who knows what he was talking about.

Then there are those twitter who say whatever their mate says and repeat it over and re-tweet as much as they can manage in a day. In the end, they don't realize they only speak about it among themselves connected by a political line which they can't think outside of. Really people, if you speak among yourselves with no outside endorsement, so to speak, what exactly are you doing - re-convince yourselves like a cult? You know you have a good position when other people not linked to your by that common line support your idea. Otherwise, it is meaningless in the world of building support. You will have the same people supporting you on the basis of the line you have.

The dying ability of people to analyse must serious be checked before it gets out of hand. We need to push to a position where we only speak if we know something but speak on what we have no idea. Zambia needs you to think, read and be exposed to an issue before you speak about it.

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

Prices of Television Services and the Case of a Monopoly

The following are extracts from a draft school project paper (not of an exact title). It looks at monopoly, reproducible product and the case of television in Africa. This is basically for academic purposes and the should not be used without the author's permission in any way. Note: Academic purposes. 

Academic queries and corrections are always welcome. I have used all sources that were used in this paper to ensure that even the extracts fit in with the reference rules. I also expect a lot of errors as this was draft work. 

For personal interest only.

Edit: After the publication of this blog. Major changes came such as the price slash of DSTV services in Uganda. Story is here.
================================

1.      Introduction
Imposition and enforcement of protection rights to a good that can easily be reproduced is a difficult task. With passage of time and advancement in technology, goods and services which were once impossible to reproduce have become reproducible. This is a case for broadcasting services. With the advancement of the internet broadcasting has become a reproducible good. Therefore, it has become increasing difficult to maintain a monopoly in markets of reproducible goods. Broadcasting is one of such a sector.

A monopoly has traditionally been defined as a situation in which a firm holds a 100% share of the market. (Cabral 2000, p. 69). However, this relies on a well-defined market or in some cases a well-defined sector in which we can identify market players. With the advances in technology, most markets have overlapped and some may fail to be addressed by the traditional view of monopoly or sectors. This advance in technology has also created markets that cut across countries and continents, especially with the use of the internet.

For simplicity, a monopoly therefore, can be defined based on Milton Friedman (2009) definition that a monopoly exists when a specific individual or enterprise has sufficient control over a particular product or service to determine significantly the terms on which other individuals shall have access to it. Taking into account the market or sectors in global scale as highlighted above.

Although for this case, the traditional definition is sufficient, the later definition is a better way to address this particular case. This is because nowadays it is possible to define a market as the whole world when considering sectors like communications in general and internet in particular. This has made it possible for smaller firms or individuals to establish themselves and compete with bigger players in one market at lower costs. Some costs are lower due to circumventing the payment for property rights to the material they possess and in other cases they operate anonymously to avoid detection by law enforcement agencies and tax authorities. This can be through pirating of music, software or other forms of digital media that includes television broadcasting through the internet. This has enabled small firms to compete against large media companies that own and operate very big television stations or record labels. The internet has substantially reduced costs for these small content sellers as compared to the traditional brick and mortar businesses. As postulated by Bokos (2001 p. 71) lower search costs in digital markets will make it easier for buyers to find sellers with the lowest price which promotes price competition among sellers. The costs are now so low that even small genuine firms can out compete big and established businesses.

For this article, the piracy that will be addressed will be related to digital media and in particular, audio and video broadcasts. Therefore, the definition of piracy that will be considered is one from Merriam-Webster dictionary which defines piracy as the act of illegally making television or radio broadcasts. (Merriam-Webster, 2016).

This paper looks at the effect of a monopoly protected by property rights and charges high prices on services that can easily be reproduced. It examines the inefficient allocation of such resources to the public, in a way that it is then threatened by cheap pirated alternative goods and services. The next section will look at the current Pay TV in Africa: History and Current Situation. Section 3 will look at Threats to the Pay-TV Monopoly. Section 4 will look at monopoly in the subscription based television services and its cause. Section 5 will then look at the effects of property rights on competition in the market. Section 6 will address costs to society from monopolistic market arrangements. Section 7 will make then look at future aspects and a conclusion.

2.      Pay TV in Africa: History and Current Situation
The simpler view of the current subscription based television in Africa would best be understood by taking a look at how television has evolved over time. From 1939 when RCA televised the opening of the New York World's Fair and a speech by President Franklin Delano Roosevelt, who was the first president to appear on television, there have been many changes in television (Stephens, 2000). Technically, from the early models of mechanical, electronic, colour, digital, smart and the now 3D television, all these changes have brought a lot more benefits for consumers of television services. On the payment front, television has moved from the free broadcast or free to air (FTA), pay or subscription based television to the pay-per-view television. In all these stages, competition has been the major driver for innovation and driven by the profit motive of broadcasters. For this paper, focus will be on subscription based (pay-tv) and pay-per-view television in Africa.

To start with, history of subscription based or pay television in Africa is strongly linked with MultiChoice, a South African pay-media company which is a subsidiary of Naspers, which offers the DStv television service. DStv covers the continent of Africa.

Since the launch of MultiChoice’s DStv platform in 1995, most pay-tv challengers have failed to compete with it. The only notable one was GTV which was operated by Gateway Broadcast Services based in London, England. The main strategy of GTV which aided it to compete with DStv was to acquire the English Premier League (EPL) broadcast rights and offered a lower price to win customers from DStv. GTV’s business strategy depended on two ideas – football and price. Capturing the British Premier League rights, in a $30 million three-year deal, was the foundation the company aimed to build on and be dominate in the sector. This is because MultiChoice had used the football rights to its advantage over the years. It over priced its services and used the money for more investment in acquiring more rights to content from different providers. These included television series, more sports and exclusive rights of local leagues in Africa.

2.1 Broadcast Right Protection
Sport broadcasts have been the major driver of pay-per-view television and most subscription based television in Africa and has been dominated by DStv. This has been mainly because DStv has the rights to broadcast the EPL matches across Africa where there is a large following. This strategy worked well for DStv and it dominated the African continent. The high prices it charged enabled it to expand and establish a strong base. Further investments were done and more football league rights from other countries were acquired and added to the platform. This strategy was undertaken by GTV when it started its operations by making sure it acquired the broadcast rights for the EPL. Entering the pay-tv sector late, GTV managed to acquire a lot of subscribers who previously were on DStv or those not subscribers. The reason was the football broadcast rights and a cheaper charge than DStv. GTV came and shook the market as they had premier league rights and were charging a fraction of what DSTV was charging. Furthermore, they made it possible for existing DSTV customers to continue using their old satellite dish by only requiring them to buy a new decoder (Nairobiwire.Com., 2015), this reduced the cost of migration from DStv to GTV for the customers, especially that even the decoder was also well priced compared to the DStv one.

This competitive strategy worked very well for GTV also and led to the splitting of broadcast rights into three regions of Africa: - Nigeria, South Africa and the rest of Africa. Each of these had to be bid separately and a different broadcaster was awarded broadcast rights for that region. GTV having a share of the largest region dominated the market and almost led the seemingly end of DStv monopoly with the exception of South Africa where GTV did not win the bids for the broadcast rights. This was a very expensive undertaking. At the outset, acquiring the English Premier League (EPL) rights needed a huge amount of funds. As pointed out by Sunwords.com (2009), GTV faced an uphill task from the outset, and made some early mistakes as it was facing a dominant incumbent, Naspers, and its DStv pay-TV network. Its master stroke was to secure the EPL rights, thereby ensuring it immediately got a large and fanatical customer base. A mass migration from DSTV to GTV and thousands of Kenyans became first time Pay TV customers due to the pricing model of GTV (Nairobiwire.com, 2015). This was witnessed in other parts of Africa as well which had the GTV television services.

Although, the investment to acquire the rights paid off and a large customer base was acquired, this did not translate into profits and good enough returns. It may have been good in the long-run, but the short-run determined how far the strategy would go. The short-run needed funds to operate and systematically find a way to pay back the funds used to acquire the EPL rights in the first place. This should have been built into the programming and pricing structure in order to ensure they raise enough money for operational profits. However, the organization’s programming was built around the EPL and therefore GTV struggled to show that it was anything other than a one-trick pony – the rest of the channels offered were never really exciting (Sunwords.com, 2009).

The organization strategy of GTV of securing and being protected by football rights instantaneously made it succeed in its sector in the short-run. However, this did not protect it from the costs associated with huge investments without consideration of one’s financial capacity in the long-run. Securing the EPL games also set it up for future problems: it was forced to bid a huge amount to acquire the rights from DStv (Sunwords.com, 2009). The only way was to source further injections of funds for it to continue to exist. The financial crisis that hit the world in 2008, was the major stroke in the life of GTV. It could not secure enough funds to continue operating despite being clearly protected in the market through the broadcast rights. Things did not go well for GTV.

2.2 End of GTV Era and Re-emergence of DStv Service
In the end, GTV paid the ultimate price, it could not mobilize resources to continue operating despite 700 million dollars in investment, GTV pulled the plug and television screens across the continent lost connection (ICT 4 Entrepreneurship. 2009). The company had to close down even though it had broadcasting rights protection in the market. The protection was for a period of more than three years, however, short-run operating costs made it impossible for the company to sustain its operations. GTV secured its future with broadcast rights but could not save its present.

With the going down of GTV, DStv regained control of English Premier League rights and established its monopoly once again. This time however, DStv has solidified its presence in the sector and across the continent. Secondly, competitors can clearly see how GTV collapsed in an attempt to take over and they cannot take the risk. This has made it hard for any competitor to challenge them. Consequently, their pricing structures has been cemented into monopolistic tendencies and even tend to have discriminatory pricing structure from country to country. Further, it also has bundled the packages in such a way that you can only get the English Premier League matches (its most sort after offering), on its most expensive package and highest package on its service – the premium bouquet. The reaction of the people in this case has been attempts to boycott its service and threats to withdraw their subscription. Nigerians and Zambians took it further with petitions to boycott the service (Techzim, 2015) after the price hike. Complaints may be right, a closer look at the prices will show that in US Dollar, the prices vary in interesting ways with no justification apart from the fact that they are a monopoly facing no competition and can price their services the way they want.
Table 1
DStv Price – 2016
Country
Access (USD)
Family (USD)
Compact (USD)
Compact Plus (USD)
Premium (USD)
Zimbabwe
11
21
32
55
81
South Africa*
6.54
14.47
22.78
30.31
50.13
Botswana
9.94
16.01
26.52
38.82
57.77
Zambia
8.65
21.35
33.44
58.83
85.21
Namibia
7.27
11.57
21.16

46.23
Kenya
10.43
21.36
37.25
63.58
93.38
Mozambique**




57.13
Nigeria
9.05
18.09
30.15
47.34
70.25
Ghana
13.05
24.8
61.23
69.19
103.13
Tanzania
10.75
23.32
38.64
67.21
100.14
Swaziland
7.93
13.15
21.08
31.06
46.2
Uganda
11.44
21.97
38.52
67.71
100.51

Source: DStv Country specific websites May 2016 prices at May 2016 US Dollar Exchange rate
* Prices include 2016 price increases in South Africa
** Different bouquet types/ names due to Portuguese language

As can be seen from table 1 and figure 1 (below), the price difference for the “premier bouquet” the lowest being Swaziland at US $46.20 and the highest being Ghana at US $103.13. The difference is over 50% (US $56.93). The lowest priced bouquet called “access bouquet” also sees the lowest price being in South Africa at US $6.54 and the highest again being in Ghana at US $13.05. The difference is US $6.51 which makes Ghana slightly less than paying twice for the same bouquet. Considering that the charges for rights and broadcast through Satellite is the same for the regions with slight costs of labour and taxes. Taking into account that differences with broadcast rights for Nigeria and South Africa may be different as they are bid separately, we would expect the rest of African countries having slightly less differences. However, with the collapse of GTV, the whole Sub-Sahara Africa is bid as one therefore, there is a standard cost. Even the satellite coverage for the three areas – South Africa, Nigeria and Rest of Africa are on two satellites. In some countries, you can pay for any of the two satellites as the coverage overlaps in areas, indicating that the costs are ultimately the same. Being the sole provider for decades in some countries, DSTV finds it easy to increase prices with little or no objection from consumers (Thenerveafrica.com, 2016). The discrimination pricing is possible as it is impossible or very costly to buy decoders and pay for the DStv services in another country due to residence requirements for one to have access or pay for the services in any country. Consumers have no choice but to buy from their country of residence where they have the necessary documents to access the services.

This has made it possible for DStv to charge different prices even when the service is cheaper in a neighbouring country as the service is not portable and carried to another jurisdiction.

Figure 1.


Source: DStv Country specific websites May 2016 prices at May 2016 US Dollar Exchange rate
* Prices include 2016 price increases in South Africa
** Different bouquet types/ names due to Portuguese language

The monopolistic tendencies of DStv have continued over a period of time leading to a form of abuse of their position in pricing and services. However, the broadcast rights make it impossible for DStv to be challenged in any way. All forms of protest or boycott fail because DStv platform is a private owned company which has been regarded as a luxury. Therefore, it is illogical for anyone to protest when they can simply withdraw from their services. As highlighted:
“I find this quite amusing. People are literally petitioning a private company to reduce the prices of a luxury item. Yes, I think DStv is a luxury and you have a choice to subscribe or not. DStv is not the internet, people. It is not electricity! And the price increases don’t need to make exchange rate sense to customers, they just need to make profitability sense to shareholders.” (Techzim 2015)

This has led to failure of any protest or any resistance to try and change the status quo and the abuse by DStv of its customers through pricing. DStv therefore, not only has a control over the clients in Africa, they also can set any price they want. This is more so with the fact that DStv is a multinational platform which has used its spread to make as much profit as possible through the discriminating pricing based on location or country specific consideration. This has led to people trying to find a way to deal with this problem through alternatives which may not be legal. This is due to the social costs imposed on society by DStv through this inefficient allocation of services.

3.       The Social Costs of Monopoly
As it has been highlighted by many scholars, monopoly has a social cost because its pricing has allocative inefficiency. The price set by a monopoly is greater than the marginal cost (Cabral, 2000 pg. 75). Competition in the sector would achieve efficiency, however, broadcast rights present a challenge for regulators. This is because broadcast rights are awarded by a third party – the English Premier League or The Spanish La Liga for example. Therefore, to encourage competition, there is need to look at the way broadcast rights are awarded. The rights make it impossible for fair competition in the sector. They create a monopoly which has been reduced but not avoided in some developed countries like the United Kingdom and Belgium. In the UK, from the possible seven bids of the packages of matches, one firm is not allowed to win more than five of the auctions (Sloman Economics, 2015). This makes possible for other firms to compete for other packages available unlike in Africa where all matches are awarded to one broadcaster. If this mode of bidding could be replicated in Africa, consumers could benefit.

A critical analysis of the market and legal challenges would need to be looked at for any regulation to be effected on DStv platform. This would entail country specific regulation measures, but these would need cooperation with the broadcast rights organisations. There are complex mechanics of not only domestic law, but international law and regulatory intervention. These are needed to reduce losses in welfare due to the existence of a monopoly. While at the same time, conforming to competition control laws of domestic markets. This is the only way to protect consumers from the losses in consumer surplus due to monopoly type of market as shown in figure 2.
Figure 2. (follow the link)

Source: tutor2u from: http://www.tutor2u.net/economics/blog/unit-3-micro-monopoly-and-economic-welfare


4.      Threats to the Pay-TV Monopoly
There are many motives to pirate on the internet and media in particular. Most of these have roots in not only the way the material is presented, but also the price that is attached to the media. In the case of DStv, the complaint has been on the pricing that they have implemented over the region of Africa as highlighted above and figure 3 below. The social cost due to the high cost make people seek alternative ways to access live broadcasts of mostly live sports which may not be legal. They may also resort to downloading television series and movies online. The cost to all this is the subscription to internet service providers. Although illegal, it is made easier and easier with some applications providing video on demand and anonymous downloads.
Figure 3.

Source: DStv Country specific websites May 2016 prices at May 2016 US Dollar Exchange rate
* Prices include 2016 price increases in South Africa
** Different bouquet types/ names due to Portuguese language

High price has been known to encourage piracy. As highlighted by Cheng et. (1997 pg.53) a consumer's final decision on acquiring software or a reproducible good depends on three variables: the cost of pirating, the price, and his or her reservation price. This is because in the case of reproducible consumer product such as computer software and in this case broadcast signals, consumers have the alternative of reproducing the product – that is, pirating - the software instead of purchasing it (Cheng 1997 pg. 53). Considering that broadcast of video and audio is a reproducible product, pirating has spread rapidly with many websites and applications for desktop and laptop computers; tablets and phones offering the broadcasts at minimal or no cost. Such applications and websites have become very popular in the entire African continent.
Table 1.

Premier League international rights deals for 2016-19

Territory
Rights holder
Australia
Optus
Brazil
ESPN
Caribbean
Cable & Wireless
Central America
Sky
Central and Eastern Europe
IMG
Central Asia
IMG
Finland/Sweden/Denmark
MTG
France & Monaco**
Altice
Germany/Austria/Liechtenstein
Perform Group
Hong Kong
Letv
India
Star
Israel
Charlton
In-flight, in-ship
IMG
Latin America
DIRECTV
Malaysia
Astro
MENA
beIN
Norway
TV 2
Poland
nc+
Singapore
Singtel
Spain
Movistar
Sub-Saharan Africa
SuperSport
Turkey
Saran
United States
NBC Sports*
Source: premierleague.com (2016)

Therefore, the only threat that DStv has, is from illicit provision of their broadcast. Bearing in mind that DStv has rights to broadcast in sub-Sahara Africa, any broadcast of the football match by anyone else would be considered pirating. This can be considered the biggest threat that DStv has at the moment. DStv acquired license for the Sub-Saharan Africaas shown in table 1 Above. The current license period of three years runs from 2016 to 2019 for which it paid £ 296 million for Sub-Saharan Africa.

4.1 Threat from Illicit Service Providers - Piracy
In view that DStv has broadcast rights, it is prone to threats from pirated broadcast of its major niche in the market – the English Premier League. This is because, with the increase and development of streaming services for audio and video, it is easier for someone to broadcast the football matches on the internet with minimal costs compared to satellite and decoder method used by DStv. It is even cheaper for the client receiving the broadcast as they don’t need extra equipment apart from phones; tablet, laptop or desktop computer;t or an IPTV Box capable of receiving audio and video through the internet. The cost of setup therefore, is very low and in most cases negligible.  

Furthermore, the high cost and complexity of blocking such pirated streams online, makes such attempts of blocking impossible. As observed by Swains (2015) as the cost of TV rights for sporting events has escalated apparently without limit, so has the ease by which conventional broadcast methods can be circumvented or pirated. All this has been despite the best efforts of global authorities. This has made it possible for people to access the restricted content easily and cheaply. People are watching more live sport than ever, whether or not they have paid for it. The audience of unauthorised streams is estimated in the millions (Swains 2015). The contention is that broadcasters are holding sport fans to ransom due to the very high pricing for sports events and the premier league in particular. However, the illegal streaming has not only affected sports, it has covered all areas of digital media from music, television series to movies. “Hard-goods piracy” in the form of DVDs has now all but vanished. Today the main facilitator of piracy is high-speed internet, with users either downloading or streaming the content (Morley, 2015).

In Africa, high-speed internet was the only obstacle to DStv’s monopoly, however, the increased penetration of high-speed/ broadband internet in Africa will present a major threat as this will enable piracy to spread with the penetration of broadband internet. This is because one merely has to have high-speed internet and they can access online streaming sites for football, series, music and movies. This will hurt DStv and shake its monopoly grip in the live sports broadcast sector. Further, the fact that most streams originate from outside Africa, it will be hard to enforce the copyright infringement in other continents. The costs will be very high and the task an impossibility. Further, the open software community is constantly developing ways in which streams can be organised and accessed as well as developments to reduce costs of broadcasting. These developments are used by people who are pirating to ensure they deliver pirated content cheaply to consumers. Just like the ability to share files has developed so much. It is worth noting that these developments are meant for legal means but are used by illegal sharing communities due to the demand for the content. For instance, Kodi, which has been used for piracy through software add-ons, made by illegal providers, came out to issue a statement after being blocked by apple store that there was a wave of sellers who decided to make a quick buck modifying Kodi, installing broken piracy add-ons, advertising that Kodi lets you watch free movies and TV (Kodi, 2016). This however, could not be stopped as an add-on provider may offer services for free and make their money through advertising on the application.

4.2 Threat from Other Service Providers
The potential market for Pay-TV is sub-Sahara Africa has meant several options for would be competitors in the market. Several service providers have come up taking into account the lessons learnt from the fall of GTV. In particular, ZUKU a Mauritius registered company has operations in Eastern, Central and Southern Africa; TopTV, a South Africa based company; and StarTimes , a Chinese owned Pay-TV which has covered Eastern, Central and Southern Africa have launched services in the past two years to rival MultiChoice’s DStv platform (Mark, 2014).

The increased number of service providers will entail the further splitting of the regions for broadcast rights if the providers provide a strong enough force for DStv and if particular countries are willing to regulate the granting of rights to their countries to encourage competition. Such a situation would be good for consumers as the competition will entail better service, lower prices and a customer care which a monopoly would not provide.

Additionally, StarTimes has the money to bid for the English Premier league as it has already established base with the much needed Africa related content through programs produced by the company. It is also believed to have the needed funds to mount a chance at broadcast rights as it acquired TopTV (Advanced-television.com, 2013) and trades as StarSat in South Africa and other countries. It has now become a real threat to MuiltiChoice and DStv. This is the first legitimate strong competition to DStv since the collapse of GTV. The Chinese owned company is believed to be preparing to break DSTV monopoly and will bid in the next round of bidding for the EPL. President of StarTimes, Pang Xinxing is quoted to have said it was not fair and it was abnormal the lack of premium sports content on affordable subscription TV packages in South Africa (Vermeulen, 2013).

The other credible competition is from Netflix, a United States based online content provider. This threat is not of the EPL and live sports events, it is a threat in video-on-demand services that are offered by MultiChoice. Netflix has a niche in this area. MultiChoice faces the threat posed by the fast growing Video-On-Demand industry in Nigeria, especially Netflix, this is because the online provider has a huge collection of media which is easier to provide through internet (thenerveafrica.com., 2016). It is expected that Netflix will capture a large market once the internet problems have been resolved and ecommerce takes shape. Ecommerce in Africa is very low, current ecommerce figure of US $10bn is expected to increase to US $75bn in 2025 (Bright, 2016). This is shown in figure 2. At that point, it is expected that more profits will be earned in Africa. This is why Netflix has strategically invested in Africa even when internet speeds are still low. The strategy is to get returns when the internet and ecommerce in particular develops in Africa for the current investment.
Figure 2.

5.      Conclusion
 The MultiChoice/ DStv issue in Africa illustrates the complexities in industrial organization for multinational companies and the issues of property rights and monopoly. The company will ensure it maximizes profits and use all forms that can help it from price discrimination based on location, use of exchange rates to any other form that will reap the most profits. In so doing, many people will be unable to enjoy the products and alternative services will be provided in form of pirated signal and broadcasts. This creates a threat especially at the time that pirating broadcasts over high-speed internet has become so cheap and so easy.  

This threat of piracy will make price increases hurt the monopolist. At the same time, it makes it expensive to enforce the property rights as infringement is spread across the entire world. Someone pirating a signal they legally paid for in Australia to other parts of the world will be difficult to block and almost impossible to be handled by one company or one law agency. Even with the united content right holders, the cost of trying to eliminate such pirates would be cheaper with a reduced price for the service than hunting for live broadcast pirates across the world on the internet. This would encourage more legal subscription and economies of scale from the number of people that legally subscribe. As it has shown in countries where many providers have emerged, price wars have resulted in lower prices in the services provided. When Kenyan telco Safaricom entered the pay-TV fray earlier this year with its 4G-enabled Big Box decoder, East African rival Zuku — spurred on by the region’s heated price wars — chose the moment to take a swipe at the competition (Vourlias, 2015).

In addition, a monopoly will more or less open the door to competition when it makes super normal profits. These competitors may come up with value added services which would kill the monopoly when the competition gets fierce. As shown by the collapse of GTV, it is possible for a company to collapse even when it is protected from competition through the property rights that are granted. MultiChoice/ DStv is therefore not protected from collapse just because it has rights. It is enjoying over-charging its consumers while at the same time opening doors for them to seek alternatives. Piracy of football games can cause it to have great losses and enable competitors to increase subscription numbers leading to its lose of its market share. After all, if people can source for other alternatives, they would not pay DStv.

In the time of high-speed internet, a strategy for a monopolist is to ensure it makes enough profits in such a way that it prevents an attack on its power and market share. This is through reasonable prices and customer care that would make it hard for competitors to enter the market, even when they don’t pay for broadcast rights. Prices that would be good enough to prevent a mass exodus in search of alternatives or illegal options. After all, broadcasting is a reproducible good.

Social costs of a monopoly call for regulation from the state as it is associated with allocative inefficiency. For a sector which is affected by many cross border activities, regulation may take time, but once the legal challenges have been dealt with, regulation may open up competition for totally unprepared companies which have been monopolies for a long time. These may fail to compete favourably.

The coming of the Chinese company – StarTimes (also trading as StarSat in some countries) on the African market is expected to improve the services offered and overall African Pay-TV. This is because StartTimes has the ability to challenge DStv. This competition is needed to improve services for the whole continent. Efforts to ensure competition in the sector has therefore intensified and consumers will not be abused with high prices in the long-run. For the past few months, DStv has introduced a channel of football on its low-end bouquets due to the competition that has been mounted by cheaper bouquets from StartTimes and Zuku. This is in a bid to fight competition but also to maintain market power with a large customer base.

This case of DStv in Africa clearly shows the various issues that result in industrial organisation in the face of monopoly, discriminatory pricing and competition in the real world. Ultimately the companies will take any advantage to maximize profits. It is therefore important that regulations are up to the task of ensuring there is competition but at the same time give rights for innovators of technology in order to encourage innovation. However, in the case of more rights not attached to an innovation, it is important to encourage competition and prevent abuse of consumers. For DStv, there is no innovation protection but mere rights to prevent access a service and charge a high price. There is no “property” created by DStv but just restriction to broadcast and charging more for access.

This type of protection is merely granted to businesses that want to profit from a natural monopoly arrangement as a private company when they have not created or developed anything. Competition in such a sector should be encouraged.

Of interest to country specific DSTV websites, these are not included in the references but can easily be followed from DSTV website as follows: e.g Botswana 

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