Showing posts with label anti-avoidance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label anti-avoidance. Show all posts

Sunday, February 16, 2014

Mining and Employment

I love the debates that comes out of mining sector. But most of it is actually lack of understanding of several issues. That is where the problem is.

Mining essentially involves depleting of natural resources and degradation of the environment when extracting the needed resource from the ground. The official definition will go as: mining means extracting minerals from the earth. So whatever decision one has to make about mining, it should address the depleted resources, the negative externalities of that depletion, the cost on environment (wont include this in externality), the positive externalities (such as job creation, revenue for tax collectors, etc), etc

Now a rational decision on this issue will have to weigh the costs and benefits before any decision to allow mining to take place anywhere. For Zambia and other developing countries, I think the costs and benefits should also take into account the costs of collecting that revenue in the wake of tax avoidance and tax evasion. It certainly wont pay, to include revenue which no one will ever collect!

So can we sum all the costs and then the benefits? Will any mining project pass that test? Frankly, I think mining in this country has more costs than benefits since the privatization jump on our roofs. We have seen more depletion and rarely few positive outcomes! Even Switzerland makes more tax revenue from our mines that we do. I think we are lost in the "employment" fight we don't see the real costs to this nation. If our aim was to really get the maximum benefit from mining, a lot of things would be done differently. Since that is not the aim, but employment, our aims fall short of any benefits. Let me explain.

Mining Efficiency
For this country and indeed any country to achieve mining efficiency, that is, extract the minerals at least cost and sell them at high price, we need to look at the costs of that extraction. Costs are many and include, royalties, labour, fuel, rentals, licenses, etc. A reduction in one of those elements will reduce the cost of extraction and surely makes for a good bargain.

However, the country imposes a cost on the mines through demand not to lay off workers. Hallo! We want efficiency, so the mining company would really do good in that area if they reduced the work force and instead invest in capital equipment that would extract the minerals cheaply compared with a man with a pick! Are we then saying we can do with the inefficiency in the mining sector as long as the people are employed? I have heard people say, they would rather have that since mines "cheat" in taxes. My view is different, if we need to do something, we must do it the best way we can. If we can't do that, we should as well close the mines and find something else to do. Mining companies may actually be motivated to "cheat" on the basis of balancing their books since we have bloated there work force. Now if we offer no conditions to them, we will have a better bargaining stand since all mining companies need to do is carry out an efficient operation.

My take on the mining would actually be to run them on a whole new platform that will force efficiency and productivity in the country. Many compare with Chile. This is a wrong comparison. They don't even need value addition as it is useless for them. Our case if different. We own less in the mines compared to 50% of which they own. Therefore, our aim should be to get more from these mines in form of value addition. The country will get more from the value added compared to exporting of raw minerals. If the companies want to export the raw minerals, we control it through taxes. Anyone exporting should pay export tax! Right now, there is no motivation to add value to the copper that we export. Tax revenue has also eluded the country. Meaning we are losing out on both fronts!

What Value Addition?
The value addition I talked about, still remains. It is here.

The setting up of "support industries" around the mining sector will bring in better rewards, especially if we stop the export and tax leakage in the current exports of the mining sector.

Environment Stance
There exist a principle in environment which states that: Polluter pays principle. This simply means whoever will bring about harm to the environment will have to clean it up and pay for all the costs related to that pollution.

So our position for someone to setup a mine in a lake is simple, how then will that person clean up the environment. When that issue has been clearly sorted out, we move now to the other costs, then look at the revenue one will make and address the positive externalities on that end. 

But what shocks me, is people talking about the employment that will be created by the mine and ignoring the cost of that environment! We are doing it wrong, lets start from the cost aspects and only move to looking at the employment when the cleaning up of the environment has been addressed. What value is a mine employing 2000 workers and then a million die from environmental degradation? Are we really so into making jobs available that we will even jeopardize our environment to get people employed?

What are our cost - benefit analysis on this issue? Environmental issues are one thing that should come first, everything else second. What villagers are there who would cost the country's environment to be employed. What genuine revenue will come out of this.

Mining Should Not Be For Employment
Mining sector should therefore not be looked at as an employment engine. It is a resource sector whose returns should be pumped into the economy, clean up the mess it generates and ensure these returns are pumped back into high growth sectors of the economy.

The "support industries" should then be the area of focus for employment. These will employ more and will have great efficiency in the mining sector. The people will benefit more from this than imposition of employees on the mines. It is a modern world which uses modern technology, the mines are not any different. If they can't contribute to tax revenues, do we really need them to operate in this country?

Tuesday, March 19, 2013

Time To Nationalize

It is always interesting to look at how Economist look at different views they have on an issue in the economy. An interesting view if you are an Economist in the field also.

I have been looking at the issue of the mines and the outcomes of which party is in charge of the mines. Right now, we are made to believe mines are not making any profit and so their contributions to taxation. Seriously if the operations are so bad that no one pays taxes, it would not make business sense to even own the mine. So why don't the owners leave? Why would anyone continue with a business operation which does not make sense (both generic, economic or business sense). If it really was the case, they would have left. 

I believe they have not left because all these loses that they complain about is a properly engineered part of transfer pricing! They find all loses in the chain and the money and profits show up in Switzerland. How else will a company pay taxes in Switzerland over Zambia's minerals when Switzerland has no copper? That is an issue that shocks me. 

My perspective is even strange to other economists. I think it will make good sense if the same loses that the mining companies are complaining about leading to no payment of taxes to be enjoyed by government. Why can't government take over the burden from the mining companies and the little resources enjoyed by the owners of the mines be ploughed back into Zambia? The country will not experience loses as much as the mining companies. The difference will be, there will be worry about the loses and exports since all returns from the mining activities will be back here in Zambia!

I know any modern Economist avoids using the words of nationalization and favours privatization. I believe things should be looked at a different angle altogether. Zambia has been using modern economic theories and perspectives since time in memorial, have we seen any goodness out of that? When the mines were owned by the people of Zambia, the mining towns were doing way better than today. Even ZESCO was selling electricity properly and a rate better than it is today. So the two experiences we have had should give us a lesson we can surely use to our advantage. Even the football pitches were a marvel to be in. Need we forget the schools that we all dreamt of going to? So what has changed with going back and getting the best out of it.

From where I stand, the whole western world has ganged up on Africa and its resources. There is too much complex way of ripping the resources of Africa such that if we try to follow the logical steps, we will be doomed. Ireland, Luxemburg, Netherlands and now even Mauritius have been set up in such a way that they will use all possible ways of reducing taxes so that Multi-Nationals find their way to Africa through these places and rip all the resources. There is 10 times more resources leaving Africa than the ones coming in in form of "AID"! Had this been a straight forward business, Africa would have been far better than any country in Europe or the Americas. But that does not appear to be.

Moreover, if we look at the China arrangement, you will agree with me that China does not follow the "modern" economics. They use planned economy and have been heavily criticized by the west. Did the Chinese system fail them? No they have producing for the world! So anyone looking at a way to develop, would surely think China is a way to go! They have more state owned enterprises competing in the world than you would imagine. We have taken these as our brands for some reason without looking at them and their history. Look at these:

ZTE Corporation (Zhongxing Telecommunication Equipment Corporation)

China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC)

British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC)

ABN AMRO Bank N.V. 

Bharat Electronics Limited

So why do we fear nationalization  After all I think the mines will contribute more to the economy when all their owners are Zambians. Many countries have a way of dealing with State-owned enterprises, we can find a way that can work if we divorce politics from the running.

I know its wishful thinking, but it is worth every typed word. We should nationalize the mines - The benefits far, far out weigh the costs (I am a student Economist, I should know that!)