Kwacha Economics has really taken an interesting twist this week. We are now thinking about debasing and the merits or demerits associated with it.
So let me add my voice to the debate. Clearly to correct what I have read and is out of line.
I feel good when i read about people talk about economic issues which make my daily life these days (can't believe I felt the same joy about Computers and IT a couple of years back!).
Rebasing on the Zambian kwacha should be viewed from an Economist point of view! I have been shocked by mis-leading statements about this and people will in the end be lost totally. We need to understand the fundamentals that control this in straight line and not assume the economics that is being dreamt about.
Rebasing the currency is redenomination which is different from devaluation. Wikipedia would simplify it better:
"Revaluation means a rise of a price of goods or products. This term is specially used as revaluation of a currency, where it means a rise of currency to the relation with a foreign currency in a fixed exchange rate. In floating exchange rate correct term would be appreciation. The antonym of revaluation is devaluation. Altering the face value of a currency without changing its foreign exchange rate is a redenomination, not a revaluation."
(I have read sites which have confused the two!
Here)
On our case, only the face has been changed by deleting the extra three (3) zeros such that K5,000.00 will become K5.00 - simple! If you look at our currency now, K5000 is written as 5ooo (small zeros). Could be design or not, but assume the zeros are eliminated. So the new currency which will be printed will trade at the different rates. Such that, your K50,000.00 will be equal to K50.00. Hard to understand? Think of it this way, K5,000.00 is equal to $1.00, right? Assume now Kwacha2 is such that K5.00 is equal to $1.00. It simply means Kwacha2 K5.00 will be equal to K5,000.00 of the old kwacha (which we are using now). Put even simpler, its like changing kwacha to MaKwacha which is 1000 times more than the old kwacha.
There is no change in value. Just change in the face of the currency. if you go get a bag of mealie meal for K25,000.00 and you have K50,000.00, the store man will either give you K25,000.00 of the old currency or K25.00 of the new currency!
Bacause of the value being the same, it has no effect on imports or exports (all things equal as we love to say!). This is a redenomination and not a devaluation. It should be easier for people who transact across borders. You can either go buy a car in dollars or rands in durban! The vehicle worth K25 million will be the same if you buy it in Rands or Dollars. Your money simply changes faces (I know the differences in exchange rates will lead to some profit or loss, that's the exchange rate issue). All in all if you carry a stable currency like Euro and Pound, that element of loss or gain in exchanging them will be no more!
So why do countries redenomination? Simple, take our case in point. We have over the years been around the exchange rate of K5,000.00 to $1.00 if may fluctuate to K5,200.00 or K4,700.00 once in a while but we are stable in that region! So a redenomination will simplify our currency (like someone said, reduce the wheelbarrow to carry the money to pay for a car!). Will now only need K5.00 for $1.00! And can even bring back coins which are irreplaceable in some transactions like parking or toll-gates! Ever wonder why we have to buy tokens to play pool? In other countries you use your money in coins! So coinage will be part of the transaction!
There is also the issue of the buried K2.1 billions! People with buried money will either dig it up (so they exchange it for the new "currency" or lose the loot as it will only be worth to light the fire with! So it will rejuvenate transactions as there will be money which has been buried being dug up. And I hope some more people will be arrested for hiding the loot!
That is a simple explanation of what we will expect with this redenomination!!!